Prices Updated Monday 2:30 pm BIDS ARE SUBJECT TO CHANGE AT ANY TIME NWGG buying hours:
Soft White & Barley - 8:30 am to 11:30 am and 2:30pm to 4:30pm
Hard Red Winter & Dark Northern Spring - 8:30am to 11:00 am
2010 CRC Guaranteed Price = $5.55/bu. Portland
Soft White vs. SRW Basis = $.01
14% DNS Scales: +.25/-.30 ea. 1/4% from 14%
11.5% HRW Scales: +.15/-.25 ea. 1/2% from 11.5%
Barge and Rail/Truck fuel surcharges have been capped at 15% to our members. Please see our Pre-Harvest Newsletter for more information.
Barge Fuel Surcharge:
February 15% = $.03/bu. (Actual 16% capped by NWGG at 15%)
March 15% = $.03/bu. (Actual 16% capped by NWGG at 15%)
Country Elevator Fuel Surcharge:
February 15% = $.018/bu (Actual 19% capped by NWGG at 15%)
NWGG updates SWW and Barley prices twice a day at approximately 8:30 am and 2:30 pm. DNS and HRW cash prices update every ten minutes using the 10 minute delayed futures price. The red wheat markets close at 11:00 am.
Spring seed season is right around the corner!!!
Call Mike with any questions you might have or place your seed order today!!!
Daily Commentary
2/8/2010 - USDA monthly supply and demand data will be released tomorrow morning. No big surprises are expected this month. Wheat and corn carryovers should be more than comfortable. India will be issuing their 2010 wheat forecast sometime this week. Expectations are that their crop will exceed last years record crop of 80.6 million metric tons. Acreage is marginally higher than last year and the weather has been favorable. January wheat stocks were estimated at 23 million metric tons versus government targeted 8.2 MMT level and new crop beginning stocks are estimated at 14 MMT vs. government targeted level of just 4 MMT. It doesn't look like they will need to import any wheat in the near future and may even export some wheat if space isn't available for new crop stocks.
The Weekly Top Five
NWGG has decided to add a new section to our website called The Top Five where we can list what we consider to be the 5 biggest issues affecting the market any given week. So without further ado, lets get started.
1. Will "El Nino" impact the size of the crop in the Pacific Northwest this spring?
2. The Snake and Columbia river transportation system will be closed from December 2010 until April 2011. 25% to 30% of the soft white wheat crop typically moves down the river during this time frame for export. How will the river closure impact export sales for 2010? How will the traditional spreads (basis) between soft white wheat and the other classes of wheat be affected?
3. World wheat carryovers have climbed to 10 year highs. How will world wheat production be affected by spring weather?
4. Inflation factor for next year. Dollar strength or weakness?
5. Price of corn vs. wheat. Will wheat be fed in 2010?